RealMaxNick
0x6dc4bf9d9be9b28e303c3ff1c403fc04e3bc6770
- Realised P&L
- $33.2k
- Volume
- $2.37M
- Markets traded
- 775
- Open portfolio
- $63.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded775
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.847Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$4.1kat 0.760Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?
- +$3.9kat 0.871Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$3.8kat 0.906Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$3.4kat 0.849Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $620.00 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $669.99 |
| 09-22 01:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 01:45 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.2k |
| 09-22 01:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $669.99 |
| 09-21 09:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $787.15 |
| 09-18 13:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $51.45 |
| 09-18 13:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6824502865 | $607.45 |
| 09-17 08:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3743147137 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $690.00 |
| 09-16 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $119.70 |
| 09-13 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $576.00 |
| 09-13 12:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299673203 | $198.85 |
| 09-11 15:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $498.60 |