0x6dc2A3BF99f08598A341DeBD70477C34312e2F88-1771996837393
0x6dc2a3bf99f08598a341debd70477c34312e2f88
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $4.01M
- Markets traded
- 421
- Open portfolio
- $61.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded421
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.173US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.130Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$4.6kat 0.028Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
- +$3.9kat 0.178Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?
- +$3.3kat 0.105Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 04:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.073 | $5.69 |
| 03-31 00:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.04 |
| 03-31 00:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $73.68 |
| 03-31 00:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $27.30 |
| 03-31 00:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $58.69 |
| 03-31 00:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.19 |
| 03-31 00:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.0169205882 | $28.76 |
| 03-31 00:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.002 | $13.29 |
| 03-29 03:36 | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.65 |
| 03-29 03:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.0124168566 | $1.91 |
| 03-29 03:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.14 | $56.98 |
| 03-29 03:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29? | BUY | 0.034 | $26.53 |
| 03-28 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $17.14 |
| 03-28 17:43 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | BUY | 0.018 | $10.63 |
| 03-28 17:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29? | BUY | 0.041 | $237.62 |