PolyBot

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Traders

0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157

0x6daeff7fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694ae45a

Realised P&L
$72.29
Volume
$132.6k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$77.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5 · Under0.6800.875$28.30+$6.31
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? · No0.9230.933$21.17+$0.24
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9200.949$17.16+$0.52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · Yes0.4900.855$4.27+$1.82
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5 · Over0.3100.120$3.88−$6.14
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? · No0.0500.050$1.14+$0.00
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No0.3800.195$0.97−$0.92
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? · No0.0660.041$0.74−$0.45
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Iwo Baraniewski0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev0.4410.000$0.00−$40.17
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.00
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Waldo Cortes Acosta0.6400.000$0.00−$11.05
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) · Anthony Hernandez0.6530.000$0.00−$13.20
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims) · Louie Sutherland0.6600.000$0.00−$1.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 23:42Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.294$3.01
10-20 23:42Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.631982962$9.64
10-20 23:42Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.632$6.47
10-20 23:42Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.66$11.29
10-20 23:42Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.299$4.56
10-20 23:42Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.309$7.91
10-20 23:42Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.21$3.59
10-20 23:42Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.632$16.19
10-20 23:42Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.21$5.79
10-20 23:42Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.67$18.47
10-20 23:3376ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5BUY0.6799999982$15.18
10-20 23:3376ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5BUY0.3099999951$6.92
10-20 23:3376ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5BUY0.679999992$6.81
10-20 23:3376ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5BUY0.31$3.10
10-20 22:45Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?SELL0.9250811209$25.09