0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157
0x6daeff7fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694ae45a
- Realised P&L
- $72.29
- Volume
- $132.6k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $77.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.87at 0.117Iran strike on US military by February 28?
- +$114.15at 0.072Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$57.04at 0.974France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$56.47at 0.787Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$27.90at 0.650Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 23:42 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.294 | $3.01 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.631982962 | $9.64 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.632 | $6.47 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.66 | $11.29 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.299 | $4.56 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.309 | $7.91 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.59 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.632 | $16.19 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.79 |
| 10-20 23:42 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.47 |
| 10-20 23:33 | 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5 | BUY | 0.6799999982 | $15.18 |
| 10-20 23:33 | 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5 | BUY | 0.3099999951 | $6.92 |
| 10-20 23:33 | 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5 | BUY | 0.679999992 | $6.81 |
| 10-20 23:33 | 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 10-20 22:45 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.9250811209 | $25.09 |