Iryna2k
0x6da804a79fbacd26068bf4803c1fdd8814c0ec45
- Realised P&L
- $488.43
- Volume
- $72.6k
- Markets traded
- 820
- Open portfolio
- $700.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded820
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.650 | $221.49 | −$8.51 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.725 | 0.720 | $198.65 | −$1.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · No | 0.787 | 0.999 | $126.81 | +$26.81 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.835 | $47.44 | −$2.56 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.987 | $27.42 | +$7.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.898 | $26.41 | +$6.41 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.765 | $19.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.575 | $17.97 | +$7.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $8.85 | −$1.15 |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.295 | $5.90 | +$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.10at 0.868Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$55.14at 0.846Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?
- +$53.48at 0.944US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$47.58at 0.881Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?
- +$37.36at 0.850Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7874015748 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.1393034812 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 02:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 09-25 14:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 12:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9636899116 | $200.00 |
| 09-25 08:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 08:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.89 |
| 09-24 15:39 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7944633847 | $200.00 |
| 09-24 15:37 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 02:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7575707201 | $30.00 |
| 09-23 16:15 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799034795 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 16:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9189999993 | $100.00 |