0x6d9b84c0aaf9a70add77389bc056816dba41a507
0x6d9b84c0aaf9a70add77389bc056816dba41a507
- Realised P&L
- $13.43
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $18.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.053 | $14.08 | −$35.91 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.013 | $1.64 | −$2.27 |
| Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? · No | 0.042 | 0.018 | $1.63 | −$2.28 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.018 | $1.57 | −$2.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.34at 0.392Falcons vs. Packers
- +$7.11at 0.291Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- +$1.29at 0.965Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina
- +$-0.94at 0.008Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$-2.14at 0.086Solana Up or Down - September 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:23 | Solana Up or Down - September 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:18 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks | SELL | 0.962 | $10.30 |
| 09-25 04:00 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | SELL | 0.0010999526 | $0.12 |
| 09-25 03:40 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 03:25 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:22 | Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | SELL | 0.999 | $44.17 |
| 09-25 03:05 | Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | BUY | 0.96 | $42.45 |
| 09-25 03:05 | Falcons vs. Packers | SELL | 0.999 | $22.13 |
| 09-25 01:50 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 01:47 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 01:13 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.3899999851 | $8.64 |
| 09-24 23:24 | Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0418693587 | $3.91 |
| 09-24 23:24 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0322745248 | $3.91 |
| 09-24 23:23 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0436598768 | $3.91 |
| 09-24 12:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $49.99 |