wxk2dmoqz814
0x6d9b04e46b8807a411ec5aeb1f2e5293c556a7da
- Realised P&L
- $-167.31
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $11.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $4.48 | −$67.24 |
| Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $3.48 | −$2.02 |
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $3.04 | −$3.42 |
| Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.56 | −$2.24 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $0.24 | −$0.86 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.55at 0.384Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton
- +$44.77at 0.136Solana Up or Down - July 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$14.52at 0.390XRP Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$12.41at 0.717Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$10.42at 0.442Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 07:59 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 07:25 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 06:56 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 06:30 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 05:20 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 04:24 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 04:21 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 04:07 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 04:03 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 04:03 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 03:43 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 03:43 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-28 00:50 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 07-27 23:48 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 07-27 23:46 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.34 |