0x6D919DC76b665B688de5f637B212c0c214f97a49-1772151813957
0x6d919dc76b665b688de5f637b212c0c214f97a49
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $105.8k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $8.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$540.12at 0.120Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$149.03at 0.591Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
- +$78.94at 0.063Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$47.27at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$32.08at 0.517Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 08:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.36 |
| 08-24 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $1.44 |
| 08-24 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 07:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $4.32 |
| 08-23 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 11:13 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.97 |
| 08-23 11:13 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.60 |
| 08-23 11:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5599999895 | $15.00 |
| 08-23 10:10 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |