DoubleAgentKrasnov
0x6d8c602a087dcd47938514fedbc684dec56cb79a
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $66.7k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$573.54at 0.751Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$269.73at 0.712Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$250.04at 0.360Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?
- +$232.38at 0.245Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$198.42at 0.730Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:18 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 21:05 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $127.99 |
| 09-15 17:23 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 09-15 17:22 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $31.00 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $55.92 |
| 09-15 10:14 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $102.68 |
| 09-11 06:58 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 09-11 06:58 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $53.45 |
| 09-10 14:33 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.971 | $85.31 |
| 09-10 14:33 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.972 | $41.60 |
| 09-10 14:31 | Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $43.38 |
| 09-10 12:59 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $398.68 |
| 09-10 12:58 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $118.84 |
| 09-10 12:55 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.907 | $244.89 |
| 09-10 12:55 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.908 | $68.85 |