BlackSugar.
0x6d8745c21229356d19fb76d5f5d2f93d3b8c4f67
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Markets traded
- 6,066
- Open portfolio
- $6.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,066
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.031 | $6.29 | −$108.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.509Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.676Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$839.95at 0.928Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$687.47at 0.532Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$533.52at 0.712Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on April 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5039525502 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8433936067 | $52.24 |
| 11-01 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $88.00 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9505148108 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 11-01 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999996 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9266903842 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |