jvpmercado
0x6d86ac33eb89050ccd8e7a80a8c16a576c0acfc2
- Realised P&L
- $-24.73
- Volume
- $272.35
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $24.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.945 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.895 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.210 | $4.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on August 27? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Connecticut Sun | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · Lynn Vision | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.799Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$0.98at 0.837Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?
- +$0.96at 0.840Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
- +$0.84at 0.856Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?
- +$0.48at 0.912Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 06:03 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 18:48 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.2094000531 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 15:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.5078124937 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 14:59 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | BUY | 0.209999959 | $4.00 |
| 08-25 08:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 22:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 02:30 | Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.0388600964 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 02:25 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 23:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 09:18 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 09:10 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 09:00 | Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 04:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.786999977 | $4.00 |
| 08-22 02:21 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |