PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6d861942945a4b200305a1aff852f2b735a82b94

Realised P&L
$3.21
Volume
$19.52
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$5.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar16.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.6800.994$1.46+$0.46
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6100.655$1.07+$0.07
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6900.730$1.06+$0.06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7900.720$0.91$0.09
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4900.415$0.85$0.15
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.7400.395$0.53$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:08Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-15 09:24Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-14 22:29Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-14 14:00Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-14 05:52Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-13 21:52Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-11 04:16S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-10 18:00Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-10 08:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-09 17:47Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-09 09:41Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-08 04:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-07 17:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.64$1.00