hsingx
0x6d81a5cd63baf3d9d8a67ebc680c0eee89e14777
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $54.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $811.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No | 0.405 | 0.180 | $402.80 | −$502.94 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.050 | $192.03 | −$895.97 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.247 | 0.335 | $149.35 | +$39.41 |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.048 | $67.70 | −$32.30 |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage · Nemiga | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$473.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.198UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$2.1kat 0.567EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$374.24at 0.728Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$135.53at 0.788LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$108.90at 0.651LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 07:53 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-26 07:51 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.71 |
| 10-26 07:46 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3050509457 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 11:45 | LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-02 10:51 | Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | BUY | 0.0708979064 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 06:07 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 08-29 08:18 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $210.00 |
| 08-29 08:16 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $600.00 |
| 03-29 15:07 | Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2809897681 | $200.00 |
| 03-29 15:07 | Based FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1196736261 | $200.00 |
| 03-28 16:40 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2253226621 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 16:26 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4666483851 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 16:24 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.560957367 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 16:23 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5613274902 | $2.0k |
| 03-28 16:23 | EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.391095728 | $1000.00 |