hsingx
0x6d81a5cd63baf3d9d8a67ebc680c0eee89e14777
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $52.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No | 0.405 | 0.230 | $514.68 | −$391.06 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.391 | 0.495 | $220.68 | +$46.21 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.055 | $211.23 | −$876.77 |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.052 | $74.05 | −$25.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.198UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$2.1kat 0.567EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$374.24at 0.728Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$108.90at 0.651LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$56.92at 0.788LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 10:51 | Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | BUY | 0.0708979064 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 06:07 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 08-29 08:18 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $210.00 |
| 08-29 08:16 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $600.00 |
| 03-29 15:07 | Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2809897681 | $200.00 |
| 03-29 15:07 | Based FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1196736261 | $200.00 |
| 03-28 16:40 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2253226621 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 16:26 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4666483851 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 16:24 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.560957367 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 16:23 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5613274902 | $2.0k |
| 03-28 16:23 | EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.391095728 | $1000.00 |
| 03-28 16:23 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2289730919 | $2.0k |
| 03-28 16:22 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8496860938 | $3.0k |
| 03-28 16:22 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8877523999 | $3.1k |
| 03-18 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1549153216 | $100.00 |