0x6d7f75BefD422DE6225ad7b4E256622a7b4D1d58-1784961660331
0x6d7f75befd422de6225ad7b4e256622a7b4d1d58
- Realised P&L
- $-448.81
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $734.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.05at 0.518Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 1?
- +$11.56at 0.240Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
- +$10.58at 0.330Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$9.40at 0.530Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 16:32 | Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-04 06:22 | Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | SELL | 0.61 | $17.93 |
| 09-04 06:21 | Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-04 06:21 | Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.40 |
| 09-03 11:00 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-03 10:59 | Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 09-03 10:59 | Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September? | SELL | 0.6275 | $12.55 |
| 08-17 03:09 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 08-17 00:16 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of August 17 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 08-17 00:15 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 17 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-13 05:14 | Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.96 |
| 07-30 07:26 | Will Ezequiel Bullaude (Santos Laguna) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-29 21:39 | Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 21:38 | Will Anyone's Legend Qualify for Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $7.74 |
| 07-29 21:37 | Will Beijing JDG Esports Qualify for Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |