0x6d7bec7d87382a3b28d193009015a34d2260123c
0x6d7bec7d87382a3b28d193009015a34d2260123c
- Realised P&L
- $-13.41
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 22? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 24? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 20? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on September 22? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 23? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 20? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 23:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.0016061442 | $0.27 |
| 09-27 06:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |