daiwu
0x6d7a3b3616b774594a371265c4fb9701f819545b
- Realised P&L
- $-128.19
- Volume
- $347.2k
- Markets traded
- 854
- Open portfolio
- $28.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded854
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.876 | 0.859 | $21.46 | −$0.44 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.775 | $3.88 | −$0.87 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.460 | $2.30 | −$1.40 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.169 | $0.84 | −$2.87 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.055 | $0.28 | −$2.73 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.09at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?
- +$30.01at 0.460Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$15.03at 0.750Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 6-12?
- +$10.03at 0.749Will Solana reach $90 April 6-12?
- +$7.33at 0.320Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-01 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-01 06:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.93 |
| 08-17 12:33 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-17 12:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-17 12:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-06 03:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.98 |
| 08-06 03:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-06 03:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.92 |
| 08-06 03:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.987 | $6.91 |
| 08-06 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-06 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-01 12:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |