PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

daiwu

0x6d7a3b3616b774594a371265c4fb9701f819545b

Realised P&L
$-128.84
Volume
$346.6k
Markets traded
840
Open portfolio
$42.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded840
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8760.846$21.15$0.75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 4? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? · No0.9990.999$4.99$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? · No0.9990.997$4.98$0.01
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.9500.616$3.08$1.67
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7400.465$2.33$1.38
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.115$0.57$2.42
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7430.101$0.50$3.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 12:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$5.00
08-01 12:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5?BUY0.999$5.00
08-01 12:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 4?BUY0.999$5.00
08-01 12:26Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.878$8.78
07-24 10:49Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 20-26?BUY0.999$5.00
07-24 10:49Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 20-26?BUY0.999$5.00
07-24 10:48Will the price of Solana be above $130 on July 27?BUY0.999$5.00
07-24 10:48Will the price of Solana be above $120 on July 26?BUY0.999$9.69
07-24 10:47Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 25?BUY0.999$5.00
07-24 10:46Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 27?BUY0.998$9.98
07-24 10:46Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 26?BUY0.999$9.99
07-24 10:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 25?BUY0.999$5.00
07-24 10:45Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?BUY0.999$9.99
07-24 10:45Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?BUY0.998$9.98
07-24 10:44Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 27?BUY0.999$5.00