daiwu
0x6d7a3b3616b774594a371265c4fb9701f819545b
- Realised P&L
- $-128.84
- Volume
- $346.6k
- Markets traded
- 840
- Open portfolio
- $42.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded840
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.876 | 0.846 | $21.15 | −$0.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $4.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.616 | $3.08 | −$1.67 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.465 | $2.33 | −$1.38 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.115 | $0.57 | −$2.42 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.101 | $0.50 | −$3.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.01at 0.460Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$7.33at 0.320Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$4.43at 0.530Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
- +$3.95at 0.540Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?
- +$3.73at 0.450Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 12:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 12:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 12:26 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.878 | $8.78 |
| 07-24 10:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.69 |
| 07-24 10:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-24 10:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-24 10:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-24 10:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-24 10:44 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |