0x6d756b2575b02df8069655cdf9d9502b3edeb068
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $145.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.650 | $79.77 | −$1.23 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.275 | $27.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.335 | $23.37 | −$6.63 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.115 | $15.09 | −$5.91 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections? | BUY | 0.6599999985 | $81.00 |
| 10-30 22:15 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $21.00 |
| 10-30 22:14 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 22:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $30.00 |