PolyBot

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Traders

SignalNotNoise001

0x6d7416717c259b2cccc04dc4dfc62cda714cfb6c

Realised P&L
$-762.15
Volume
$180.1k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? · No0.9530.985$197.00+$6.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No0.9460.975$194.89+$5.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.6400.475$142.50$49.50
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6600.645$129.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · Yes0.3170.345$103.50+$8.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.3900.375$75.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · Yes0.5530.695$69.50+$14.17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? · Yes0.3000.305$61.00+$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.2500.205$41.00$9.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$34.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 06:59Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.998$299.40
09-09 01:21Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.988$98.80
09-09 01:12Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.921$92.10
08-30 04:09Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.9698152949$237.91
08-29 03:31Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.949$189.80
08-26 03:32Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.982$196.40
08-25 04:13Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?BUY0.978$195.60
08-24 14:06Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?SELL0.999$99.90
08-24 04:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?BUY0.977$195.40
08-23 14:42Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.883$8.83
08-22 03:49Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.9854848191$162.61
08-21 09:44Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.988$202.54
08-18 03:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.31$31.00
08-16 03:10Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.27$27.00
08-16 03:10Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.4$40.00