SignalNotNoise001
0x6d7416717c259b2cccc04dc4dfc62cda714cfb6c
- Realised P&L
- $-762.15
- Volume
- $180.1k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.51at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$96.15at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$85.64at 0.144Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?
- +$85.40at 0.146Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$82.48at 0.539Lakers vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-09 01:21 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 09-09 01:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $92.10 |
| 08-30 04:09 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9698152949 | $237.91 |
| 08-29 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $189.80 |
| 08-26 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $196.40 |
| 08-25 04:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $195.60 |
| 08-24 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-24 04:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.977 | $195.40 |
| 08-23 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $8.83 |
| 08-22 03:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9854848191 | $162.61 |
| 08-21 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $202.54 |
| 08-18 03:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 08-16 03:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 08-16 03:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |