0x6555C46d18f3Ff120050Da360ce56cB222EC5B14-1775838565597
0x6d6e71c854c72b3e73cbe106594ea9206fbffdb4
- Realised P&L
- $-218.51
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $847.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.47at 0.778Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
- +$22.50at 0.800Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$19.04at 0.780US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
- +$16.67at 0.840Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$13.64at 0.880Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 06:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $30.63 |
| 09-29 08:32 | Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 09-29 03:28 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.36 |
| 09-29 02:40 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.56 |
| 09-28 17:19 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.81 |
| 09-27 03:37 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.8899999968 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 17:24 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-25 02:14 | RFK Jr. Out by October 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.67 |
| 09-25 01:57 | RFK Jr. Out by October 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $9.92 |
| 09-23 01:59 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 01:48 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.81 |
| 09-23 01:44 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-22 03:33 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 09-22 01:13 | Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.982 | $11.63 |