PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6D6C16512eb7AD7C49D8fD257ea4be9C8562F7C9-1764248573776

0x6d6c16512eb7ad7c49d8fd257ea4be9c8562f7c9

Realised P&L
$201.85
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6830.770$776.62+$87.64
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4610.395$378.92$63.24
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.875$154.68+$34.47
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2810.180$83.48$46.88
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0800.045$11.25$8.75
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona0.6070.000$0.00$150.00
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19? · Yes0.4460.000$0.00$231.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 12:32Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.5890864996$145.74
08-21 07:18Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.7632591185$294.96
08-20 14:53Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.6799999993$120.21
08-20 14:53Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.86$124.47
08-19 19:28Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.7199999869$48.28
08-19 19:27Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.32$50.00
06-15 16:15Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.5$243.50
06-15 16:15Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.08$20.00
06-15 16:14Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4995519019$100.00
06-15 16:14Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.2797456844$110.00
06-09 08:04Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.2885825907$20.36
05-29 13:45Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4199999981$48.66
05-20 14:23Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.7599999989$110.00
05-19 07:36Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.6499999948$100.00
05-19 07:18Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.6499999948$100.00