0x6D6C16512eb7AD7C49D8fD257ea4be9C8562F7C9-1764248573776
0x6d6c16512eb7ad7c49d8fd257ea4be9c8562f7c9
- Realised P&L
- $194.55
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $468.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.330 | $380.79 | −$116.37 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.165 | $76.52 | −$53.84 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $11.25 | −$8.75 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.607 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$231.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.32at 0.610MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$100.00at 0.500Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
- +$81.82at 0.550Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
- +$75.15at 0.698Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$31.35at 0.695Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:49 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 10:49 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 10:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.249 | $42.98 |
| 10-28 11:39 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3549999948 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 08:22 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2579999995 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 08:22 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $612.02 |
| 10-14 15:35 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6815871563 | $178.73 |
| 10-14 15:28 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 15:28 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $155.56 |
| 09-20 13:25 | Ukraine vs. Romania | BUY | 0.6992935708 | $98.99 |
| 08-30 12:32 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5890864996 | $145.74 |
| 08-21 07:18 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7632591185 | $294.96 |
| 08-20 14:53 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $120.21 |
| 08-20 14:53 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $124.47 |
| 08-19 19:28 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7199999869 | $48.28 |