0xnito
0x6d68d318ebf5370439aa5fcdc382651bb0bb11bc
- Realised P&L
- $134.35
- Volume
- $182.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $3.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.84at 0.736US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$230.80at 0.120US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$222.50at 0.110US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$155.96at 0.263Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$53.09at 0.040Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:49 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | SELL | 0.030975 | $12.39 |
| 10-12 03:33 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.40 |
| 10-11 20:37 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 10-09 09:05 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.0787484562 | $9.56 |
| 10-09 09:04 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $16.06 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.80 |
| 10-09 09:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 10-09 08:58 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $23.12 |
| 09-24 20:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.0414156799 | $19.94 |
| 09-23 02:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0457013211 | $22.00 |
| 09-22 16:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.033299797 | $70.53 |
| 09-21 00:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 00:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $17.22 |
| 09-10 20:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 09-08 02:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $272.22 |