PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

UptoNoob

0x6d683eabae4eb24c382c25cebe336fef2e2b7960

Realised P&L
$-481.14
Volume
$193.2k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.086$1.1k+$119.91
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$1.43−$3.58
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$17.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$13.20
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$41.60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$6.00
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$97.41
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$22.98
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$40.00
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$80.99

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-19 19:08Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$5.00
01-19 18:59US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.08$24.00
01-19 15:28Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$10.00
01-19 15:28US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
01-19 02:55Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.002$1.38
01-19 02:07Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$3.00
01-19 01:45Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0032253383$2.00
01-19 01:36Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.002$3.00
01-19 01:34US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.002$0.10
01-19 01:32US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.0040814772$3.00
01-19 01:30Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0034656739$3.00
01-19 01:03Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.003$1.00
01-19 01:02Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0032727332$1.00
01-18 23:56US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.004$20.00
01-17 21:45Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$69.00