Tjingbin
0x6d66e3775272cc57180de1a9eafee892669aaf0d
- Realised P&L
- $6.9k
- Volume
- $125.9k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.889 | 0.814 | $1.4k | −$132.55 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$1.5kat 0.696Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$1.3kat 0.487Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$1.3kat 0.420Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$1.2kat 0.630Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 09:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.50 |
| 09-02 09:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 04:07 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.18 | $16.53 |
| 08-23 04:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 06:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 06:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $1.78 |
| 08-01 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 11:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.784 | $107.16 |
| 07-04 04:02 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.931 | $9.31 |
| 07-03 03:59 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.927 | $46.35 |
| 07-03 03:54 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.411 | $26.79 |
| 07-03 03:53 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.925 | $11.00 |
| 07-02 03:40 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9189999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 04:24 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8979999877 | $6.00 |