23engineered
0x6d6673d6a14070432201ca247189570d3ddcfc54
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $167.1k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $395.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.485 | $323.98 | −$230.46 |
| Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.979 | 0.990 | $65.34 | +$0.73 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.049 | $5.98 | −$8.66 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.455 | $0.46 | +$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.08at 0.530Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
- +$249.20at 0.650Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
- +$236.08at 0.341Weed rescheduled by December 31?
- +$214.76at 0.740Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
- +$206.36at 0.540Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 04:31 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $462.80 |
| 04-24 03:20 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $554.44 |
| 04-11 10:08 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.62 | $145.70 |
| 04-11 04:10 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.769 | $136.88 |
| 04-11 00:41 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $150.40 |
| 04-09 11:34 | Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.76 | $171.00 |
| 04-09 11:33 | Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.76 | $316.92 |
| 04-09 10:51 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 04-08 02:54 | Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $481.50 |
| 03-31 08:42 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.85 | $426.70 |
| 03-30 15:08 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $25.11 |
| 03-29 18:43 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $458.38 |
| 03-19 12:25 | Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 03-19 03:11 | Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Utrecht’s 2026 municipal election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.39 |
| 03-19 03:10 | Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Utrecht’s 2026 municipal election? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.72 |