PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6D649A7992D481853dba813CFC47401100fCD500-1780779337961

0x6d649a7992d481853dba813cfc47401100fcd500

Realised P&L
$-6.54
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$78.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 21:29Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0286068466$6.00
10-05 16:14Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0060923973$5.00
10-05 16:13Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0249453476$35.00
09-21 18:13Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.2699999966$4.00
09-21 18:08Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1569999991$19.00
07-20 19:02Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1699999878$11.41
07-20 19:01Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
07-14 23:37Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.463$8.26
07-14 23:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$6.56
07-03 05:58Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-03 05:52Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3419999785$10.00
06-26 02:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1469999768$5.00
06-26 02:29Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$1.58
06-26 02:28Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-23 23:08Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.986$1.45