0x6D649A7992D481853dba813CFC47401100fCD500-1780779337961
0x6d649a7992d481853dba813cfc47401100fcd500
- Realised P&L
- $-6.54
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $78.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.78at 0.135Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
- +$11.12at 0.477Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$5.15at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.24at 0.195UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$2.94at 0.286Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:29 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0286068466 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 16:14 | Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0060923973 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0249453476 | $35.00 |
| 09-21 18:13 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 18:08 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1569999991 | $19.00 |
| 07-20 19:02 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1699999878 | $11.41 |
| 07-20 19:01 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 23:37 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.463 | $8.26 |
| 07-14 23:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $6.56 |
| 07-03 05:58 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 05:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3419999785 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 02:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1469999768 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 02:29 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.58 |
| 06-26 02:28 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 23:08 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.45 |