0x6d5cd37575d47963e073f93b32b7bbc1817a90b1
0x6d5cd37575d47963e073f93b32b7bbc1817a90b1
- Realised P&L
- $12.66
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $9.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.360 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.191 | $1.42 | −$0.58 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.133 | 0.140 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes | 0.270 | 0.265 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.295 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.140 | 0.130 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.220 | 0.195 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.78at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.15at 0.082Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)
- +$9.88at 0.164Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?
- +$8.87at 0.100Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$7.95at 0.205Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:29 | VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:28 | Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:26 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:24 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:21 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:21 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2689999724 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 21:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 18:53 | AC Milan vs. US Lecce: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:38 | Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:35 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.051000003 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:35 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:34 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:34 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:33 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |