ytfytf3498y
0x6d5a1441c9f92c00cab9a3b920a2b891c17d5382
- Realised P&L
- $39.64
- Volume
- $417.67
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $94.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $110 in September? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.745 | $44.70 | +$9.90 |
| Will Solana reach $120 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.356 | $28.48 | −$21.68 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.725 | $21.49 | −$1.93 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 23? · Down | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.74at 0.610Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.86at 0.580Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?
- +$4.93at 0.670Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 29?
- +$3.10at 0.780Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?
- +$1.01at 0.952Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:42 | Will Solana dip to $110 in September? | BUY | 0.58 | $34.80 |
| 09-22 03:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-15 15:32 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9157158613 | $69.74 |
| 09-15 15:26 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.936 | $5.43 |
| 01-23 15:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27? | BUY | 0.7799999901 | $11.00 |
| 01-23 15:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.5799999892 | $15.00 |
| 01-23 15:43 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 01-23 15:42 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 23? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 01-23 15:36 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9519999981 | $20.00 |
| 01-23 15:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |