HKPicker2
0x6d529e7943b8fa460d6f94227d13855a37afa20c
- Realised P&L
- $-204.89
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,126
- Open portfolio
- $211.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,126
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.93at 0.721Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?
- +$33.89at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?
- +$27.34at 0.218Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$22.60at 0.306Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$19.26at 0.819Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $31.87 |
| 10-15 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $61.94 |
| 10-15 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4405155381 | $91.86 |
| 10-15 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.65 |
| 10-15 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.0049492646 | $0.30 |
| 10-15 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0182653097 | $1.03 |
| 10-15 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 10-15 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.002414176 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 10-14 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 10-14 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.987 | $24.70 |
| 10-14 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.987 | $85.79 |
| 10-14 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.986 | $49.30 |