JSK030
0x6d517fe0481584ae9cb6dc5195a767e5ebf836b3
- Realised P&L
- $-20.1k
- Volume
- $2.85M
- Markets traded
- 4,040
- Open portfolio
- $12.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,040
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ET · Up | 0.900 | 1.000 | $12.34 | +$1.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4PM ET · Up | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.857Ethereum Up or Down on April 13?
- +$1.8kat 0.925Ripple above $2.30 on March 21?
- +$1.7kat 0.911Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?
- +$1.6kat 0.935Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?
- +$1.6kat 0.820Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $11.11 |
| 09-21 05:54 | Solana Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $10.10 |
| 09-21 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $10.53 |
| 09-21 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $11.11 |
| 09-21 04:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $11.24 |
| 09-21 03:59 | BNB Up or Down - September 20, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.9851659996 | $10.19 |
| 09-21 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.19 |
| 09-21 02:56 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $10.02 |
| 09-21 01:51 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $10.10 |
| 09-21 00:50 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $10.02 |
| 09-20 23:59 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.9851231407 | $10.10 |
| 09-20 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $8.77 |
| 09-20 23:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999987 | $12.05 |
| 09-20 22:53 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.9974027474 | $10.02 |
| 09-20 21:54 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.988826314 | $10.11 |