PolyBot

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Traders

pattemanden

0x6d40b1d38e29d57a3338e885481cc6235a2ff09d

Realised P&L
$-13.70
Volume
$774.71
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$15.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? · Yes0.4301.000$13.95+$7.95
Trump goes to space in 2026? · Yes0.0390.025$1.24−$0.76
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$7.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$7.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 12:37Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0219999972$7.47
05-16 12:37Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.071$8.22
05-10 13:21Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999924$8.10
05-10 13:18Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?SELL0.3$8.08
04-30 20:52Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.2599999814$7.00
04-30 20:51Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.0366049973$1.00
04-30 20:47Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?BUY0.1536$6.00
04-30 20:45Trump goes to space in 2026?BUY0.04$1.00
04-30 20:45Trump goes to space in 2026?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
04-30 20:45Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?BUY0.4299999706$6.00
04-30 20:43Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?BUY0.3699999847$7.00