MAVRODIK
0x6d2f65ea3cdf88f32fcd0eb5941c3aa8cf908d49
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $96.0k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $12.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.18at 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$26.92at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10AM ET
- +$22.60at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$22.56at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
- +$22.51at 0.387Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0553505533 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 07-18 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 07-17 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.6599999534 | $3.40 |
| 07-17 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-17 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.6702855632 | $3.45 |
| 07-17 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 17? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 07-12 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 12? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.57 |
| 07-11 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |