HeatherSanchez9635
0x6d267bad73bf4a1741cb09d06f8aa13700c9c9f4
- Realised P&L
- $455.46
- Volume
- $84.4k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $51.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.37at 0.643Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
- +$99.61at 0.648Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$97.23at 0.440Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$91.61at 0.320HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$87.90at 0.850Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 19:50 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $207.90 |
| 01-11 14:00 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 01-11 06:38 | Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.67 | $137.35 |
| 01-11 04:57 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $207.90 |
| 01-11 04:47 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.54 |
| 01-11 04:29 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.87 | $14.79 |
| 01-11 04:27 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.87 | $28.71 |
| 01-11 04:26 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.87 | $248.82 |
| 01-11 04:25 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.87 | $416.73 |
| 01-11 04:24 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.85 | $121.55 |
| 01-10 18:19 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.87 | $849.99 |
| 01-10 17:19 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $283.59 |
| 01-10 14:19 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $287.70 |
| 01-10 14:09 | Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.45 |
| 01-10 12:31 | Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.159 | $2.39 |