PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6d218eCD437068fea96293Df94C77d540506D15e-1779319745520

0x6d218ecd437068fea96293df94c77d540506d15e

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$138.2k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$547.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3000.285$285.06−$14.94
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.4110.360$262.62−$37.38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$31.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0950.000$0.00−$50.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00−$400.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No0.0440.000$0.00−$230.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 14:12Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0183702178$9.28
10-29 14:12Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.004$24.39
10-28 14:12Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.8927540575$297.58
10-28 02:02Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2999357556$300.00
10-28 02:00Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.4112499711$300.00
10-28 00:55Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0999026$200.00
10-28 00:27Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.8515254364$4.1k
10-27 22:40Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2166899406$120.00
10-27 22:39Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1993502776$200.00
10-27 22:06Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1277853068$250.00
10-27 20:08Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.55$66.00
10-27 20:07Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0860159771$50.00
10-27 20:07Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.2653921928$115.85
10-27 20:02Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7825501217$255.00
10-27 20:02Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.7911253023$255.20