0x6D21369efd623Ca1Db9e611Da7F834BD2B7aF877-1716950259244
0x6d21369efd623ca1db9e611da7f834bd2b7af877
- Realised P&L
- $12.65
- Volume
- $536.35
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $104.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.790 | $83.91 | −$4.19 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.695 | $20.73 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.06at 0.778Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
- +$5.33at 0.740Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 10:42 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $29.05 |
| 07-19 10:33 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $5.10 |
| 07-16 23:00 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | SELL | 0.8366470062 | $158.87 |
| 07-14 22:11 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | BUY | 0.7784201988 | $147.82 |
| 06-25 21:36 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.679999996 | $20.29 |
| 04-11 19:56 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $15.17 |