AntlerPolice
0x6d1c079d3a251908f4ad0210d16fc0a1ac2c7e81
- Realised P&L
- $-19.61
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $0.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.275 | $0.95 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$3.35at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$2.71at 0.649Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$2.55at 0.286Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$2.45at 0.860Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:07 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 17:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 19:06 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 19:05 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 19:03 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 18:35 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.57 |
| 05-24 15:09 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 18:16 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 14:26 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 14:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 14:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 16:52 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9349999925 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $4.92 |
| 02-22 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $4.89 |