PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6d1Aa47b9Fa31c2064819DA2cA405FF9518f2dae-1772370610636

0x6d1aa47b9fa31c2064819da2ca405ff9518f2dae

Realised P&L
$6.33
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$57.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5500.405$16.20$5.80
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7700.765$15.30$0.10
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · No0.6900.780$11.70+$1.35
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.6710.225$11.25$22.32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1700.105$2.10$1.30
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.2400.095$0.95$1.45
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$12.75
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$31.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:42Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.24$2.40
09-15 10:40Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.957$9.56
08-19 12:45Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.972$9.71
08-06 11:162026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.55$22.00
08-06 11:16Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.817$24.51
08-06 11:15Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.59$5.90
08-04 11:27Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6$6.00
08-04 10:55Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?SELL0.71$8.32
08-01 01:58Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.53$6.21
07-25 18:28RFK Jr. Out by December 31?BUY0.69$10.35
07-25 18:17Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?BUY0.87$5.40
07-22 15:02US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?BUY0.94$14.10
07-19 16:12President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?SELL0.987706$14.82
07-16 13:10President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.94$14.10
07-16 12:51Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.77$15.40