PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dugbarbie

0x6d14b59c363022fb6defe084dc5cd8867633579a

Realised P&L
$6.39
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$60.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? · No0.8830.874$46.83−$0.49
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6800.640$13.44−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 03:29Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?SELL0.18$8.10
10-30 05:27Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?SELL0.921$0.09
10-29 13:44Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?SELL0.94$0.68
10-20 19:03Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.68$14.28
10-19 17:38Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.1$0.02
10-16 15:47Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?BUY0.8831601351$47.32
10-16 15:39Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.88$0.11
10-16 15:39Will Buffalo Sabres be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?SELL0.947$0.17
10-16 15:38Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.942$0.23
10-15 13:49Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?SELL0.095$0.05
10-14 03:18Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?SELL0.087$4.52
10-12 22:32Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.8909615385$92.66
10-10 16:49Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.942$4.71
10-08 13:34Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.025$2.60
10-07 15:54Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.21$9.45