dugbarbie
0x6d14b59c363022fb6defe084dc5cd8867633579a
- Realised P&L
- $6.39
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $60.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? · No | 0.883 | 0.874 | $46.83 | −$0.49 |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.640 | $13.44 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.37at 0.879Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
- +$1.89at 0.903Will Buffalo Sabres be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
- +$1.59at 0.053Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.06at 0.063Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.679Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 03:29 | Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | SELL | 0.18 | $8.10 |
| 10-30 05:27 | Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.921 | $0.09 |
| 10-29 13:44 | Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.68 |
| 10-20 19:03 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.68 | $14.28 |
| 10-19 17:38 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.02 |
| 10-16 15:47 | Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? | BUY | 0.8831601351 | $47.32 |
| 10-16 15:39 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.11 |
| 10-16 15:39 | Will Buffalo Sabres be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.947 | $0.17 |
| 10-16 15:38 | Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.942 | $0.23 |
| 10-15 13:49 | Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.095 | $0.05 |
| 10-14 03:18 | Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.087 | $4.52 |
| 10-12 22:32 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.8909615385 | $92.66 |
| 10-10 16:49 | Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.942 | $4.71 |
| 10-08 13:34 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.60 |
| 10-07 15:54 | Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.21 | $9.45 |