okman7
0x6d13fa5bf0e80dc4d63fbba2908bc7cc8c4b082c
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $96.5k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $84.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.315Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
- +$828.91at 0.702Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$760.08at 0.469Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
- +$444.20at 0.420Yoon reinstated as President before July?
- +$324.24at 0.582Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:28 | Clemson vs. California: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.4899999998 | $55.00 |
| 09-26 02:27 | Spread: Clemson (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $60.00 |
| 09-25 03:24 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $154.01 |
| 09-25 00:06 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5599999982 | $75.92 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.479999999 | $74.00 |
| 09-21 23:11 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099999993 | $79.00 |
| 09-21 23:09 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $75.00 |
| 09-21 00:10 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $77.00 |
| 09-21 00:10 | Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.0114902967 | $0.72 |
| 09-21 00:10 | Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.97 | $76.89 |
| 09-20 19:56 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.98 | $94.12 |
| 09-20 19:56 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $174.82 |
| 09-20 14:27 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.8499999962 | $157.72 |
| 09-20 14:27 | Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6307005587 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 14:25 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2990033203 | $30.00 |