PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

okman7

0x6d13fa5bf0e80dc4d63fbba2908bc7cc8c4b082c

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$96.5k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$84.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Clemson (-2.5) · Clemson0.5200.595$68.65+$8.65
Clemson vs. California: O/U 52.5 · Over0.4900.140$15.71−$39.29
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? · Over0.8500.002$0.37−$157.35
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$50.00
Duke vs. Virginia · Virginia0.3990.000$0.00−$29.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00−$52.81
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers0.5200.000$0.00−$40.00
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · Yes0.3910.000$0.00−$29.30
Spread: Indiana (-7.5) · Indiana0.4800.000$0.00−$70.00
76ers vs. Hornets · 76ers0.4600.000$0.00−$50.00
Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Rams0.5100.000$0.00−$58.00
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Cowboys0.4700.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? · Yes0.5050.000$0.00−$126.20
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja0.4500.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 02:28Clemson vs. California: O/U 52.5BUY0.4899999998$55.00
09-26 02:27Spread: Clemson (-2.5)BUY0.5199999972$60.00
09-25 03:24Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5SELL0.999$154.01
09-25 00:06Spread: Packers (-3.5)BUY0.5599999982$75.92
09-25 00:05Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5BUY0.479999999$74.00
09-21 23:11Spread: Rams (-6.5)BUY0.5099999993$79.00
09-21 23:09Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5BUY0.4899999984$75.00
09-21 00:10Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5BUY0.5$77.00
09-21 00:10Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.0114902967$0.72
09-21 00:10Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.97$76.89
09-20 19:56Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?SELL0.98$94.12
09-20 19:56Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.999$174.82
09-20 14:27Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?BUY0.8499999962$157.72
09-20 14:27Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.6307005587$50.00
09-20 14:25Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2990033203$30.00