milasusu
0x6d12343cf58610c07b7fbfea57c4c3f36cc81167
- Realised P&L
- $672.09
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $132.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.125 | $50.00 | +$18.00 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.140 | $42.00 | +$21.00 |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.100 | $17.62 | −$2.38 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $13.08 | −$6.92 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.120 | $9.85 | −$4.15 |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe · Yamal | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$669.12at 0.340Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$62.62at 0.772US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$51.88at 0.160Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$50.00at 0.450Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings
- +$49.50at 0.500Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $62.87 |
| 07-09 08:10 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 08:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 08:00 | World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe | BUY | 0.0087093875 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 07:59 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 07:49 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1705641387 | $14.00 |
| 07-09 07:47 | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 07:44 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 07-09 07:42 | Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | BUY | 0.1135003948 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 16:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 07:12 | Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.0629999944 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 07:05 | Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 07:04 | Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 07:03 | Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 06:59 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999996 | $350.00 |