milasusu
0x6d12343cf58610c07b7fbfea57c4c3f36cc81167
- Realised P&L
- $616.31
- Volume
- $60.7k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $84.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $30.00 | −$2.00 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.080 | $24.00 | +$3.00 |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.075 | $13.22 | −$6.78 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $10.00 | −$10.00 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.090 | $7.39 | −$6.61 |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe · Yamal | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$662.19at 0.347Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$62.62at 0.772US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$51.94at 0.744Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
- +$51.62at 0.164Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$50.00at 0.450Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 23:45 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-16 06:57 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-16 06:56 | Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-16 06:56 | Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-16 06:55 | Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-16 01:15 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.17 |
| 08-16 01:14 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-16 01:13 | Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-16 00:02 | Will Radiant Win More Games at Dota The International 2026? | SELL | 0.913 | $9.12 |
| 07-19 15:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $62.87 |
| 07-09 08:10 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 08:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 08:00 | World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe | BUY | 0.0087093875 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 07:59 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 07:49 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1705641387 | $14.00 |