alltea
0x6d0cce9973e02c612a9b1805ae86d4d5c29a5af3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.485 | $2.0k | −$59.22 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.205 | $929.63 | −$401.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$405.82at 0.321Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-2.5kat 0.629Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.15 |
| 09-13 08:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.9k |
| 09-11 10:32 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $7.68 |
| 09-10 11:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $22.61 |
| 09-10 11:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.8k |
| 09-10 11:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $323.95 |
| 09-10 10:58 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $87.11 |
| 09-09 16:21 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $818.99 |
| 09-09 05:27 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $74.21 |
| 09-09 05:25 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-09 05:24 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $253.75 |
| 09-07 10:02 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $24.17 |
| 09-04 13:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $6.8k |
| 08-11 19:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.15 |
| 08-10 17:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.30 |