PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ItsRigg3d

0x6d044cd186b8a014f3d7da1420ab1033fcbe0e1b

Realised P&L
$877.63
Volume
$35.2k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1870.875$202.10+$158.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.815$153.04+$93.04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes0.1180.245$124.03+$64.03
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.0890.315$105.81+$75.81
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6990.770$99.28+$9.13
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.1000.136$87.13+$23.24
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? · Yes0.1260.350$83.08+$53.08
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7440.665$80.40$9.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.715$73.97+$13.97
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · No0.2030.165$72.21$16.60
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.1650.385$70.07+$40.07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5160.530$61.66+$1.66
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.7000.709$60.77+$0.77
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? · Yes0.5740.865$60.26+$20.26
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4600.405$56.70$7.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 19:48Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.0099969639$3.00
09-18 19:47Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.0027877206$3.00
09-18 19:33Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?BUY0.6499999946$30.00
09-18 19:22Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?SELL0.049$5.62
09-18 19:22Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?SELL0.05$2.00
09-18 19:22Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?SELL0.051$2.32
09-18 18:53Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$104.40
09-18 18:42Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.24$30.00
09-18 14:50Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$30.80
09-18 13:08Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.99$67.48
09-18 13:01Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?BUY0.14$2.80
09-17 15:39Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.6999999977$60.00
09-17 15:37Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999992$60.00
09-17 13:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5399999964$60.00
09-16 18:47Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.43$34.40