ASDFF603
0x6cfc9702c0c5b16671d880d787c9ac9b8d3a06e7
- Realised P&L
- $-170.35
- Volume
- $37.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $30.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No | 0.982 | 0.987 | $30.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.40 |
| Stars vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.86at 0.920Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.36at 0.940Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$2.22at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.93at 0.940Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.10at 0.940Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:53 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $36.00 |
| 10-03 02:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9829999817 | $35.60 |
| 09-28 01:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $33.50 |
| 09-27 14:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9949999906 | $33.30 |
| 09-25 08:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999995 | $32.90 |
| 09-21 12:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9209999977 | $30.58 |
| 09-18 12:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9799999967 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $35.40 |
| 08-19 03:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.9969999901 | $35.30 |
| 08-18 02:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.00 |
| 08-17 03:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.9869999793 | $34.50 |
| 08-16 04:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.20 |
| 08-15 08:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $33.90 |
| 08-14 03:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 14? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $33.50 |