Drefi
0x6cfbb3a7f8aaef0c9343037b7de07e3f13691734
- Realised P&L
- $-60.47
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $16.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo · Indiana Fever | 0.860 | 0.885 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.060 | $6.65 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.10at 0.445Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$9.81at 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$7.44at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$6.05at 0.450Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:51 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 22:01 | Cardinals vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 21:56 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-26 19:46 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:44 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.7821627062 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 06:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 15:31 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.102 | $4.82 |
| 06-06 15:27 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.7919999436 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 08:56 | Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 08:54 | Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 21:27 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 20:23 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 23:27 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |