Fantastic-Hackwork
0x6ce615657032cc55c1b950de4dcc427d76903dc2
- Realised P&L
- $77.96
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $703.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $511.03 | −$56.02 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.024 | $182.28 | +$3.89 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $8.42 | −$26.57 |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $2.02 | −$32.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.083Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$10.40at 0.406Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$10.31at 0.308Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.24at 0.659Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$3.22at 0.649Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:05 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.023 | $178.40 |
| 10-06 07:48 | Will Olivier Faure win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.1159999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 21:02 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $210.34 |
| 09-28 21:00 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0086742808 | $35.00 |
| 09-28 20:59 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0020794721 | $35.00 |
| 09-28 20:57 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $70.00 |
| 08-27 11:38 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $346.08 |
| 08-13 12:43 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999895 | $10.63 |
| 07-19 19:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:19 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $15.33 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0230000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.0130000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1074999108 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.0324999694 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:03 | Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |