Lior-Pa
0x6cd84a3230d0b0837c8169f64b6ece55faafd98d
- Realised P&L
- $32.4k
- Volume
- $912.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $33.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.195 | $15.0k | −$6.17 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.085 | $12.8k | −$2.2k |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.125 | $5.1k | −$779.04 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $73.10 | −$8.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.838Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$5.0kat 0.807Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$4.9kat 0.746Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.8kat 0.882Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.731Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:39 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $81.87 |
| 09-02 16:28 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1441987857 | $5.9k |
| 09-02 16:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1156052612 | $7.5k |
| 09-02 16:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0917692998 | $4.8k |
| 09-02 16:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.6k |
| 09-02 16:22 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1950808656 | $15.0k |
| 09-02 16:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $36.8k |
| 08-15 11:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9441277468 | $34.9k |
| 08-15 11:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.996 | $34.9k |
| 08-08 18:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $36.93 |
| 08-02 03:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8376268642 | $29.3k |
| 08-02 03:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.9734374878 | $29.3k |
| 08-01 11:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8073189489 | $24.3k |
| 08-01 11:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.9951567447 | $24.3k |
| 07-27 15:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.8820532492 | $21.6k |