Lior-Pa
0x6cd84a3230d0b0837c8169f64b6ece55faafd98d
- Realised P&L
- $28.1k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $31.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.225 | $31.2k | +$2.0k |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.135 | $149.10 | +$10.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.838Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$5.0kat 0.807Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$4.9kat 0.746Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.8kat 0.882Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.731Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 04:57 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $57.16 |
| 10-06 09:32 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2245072764 | $9.1k |
| 10-06 09:32 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.0641897568 | $9.7k |
| 09-29 20:39 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $45.41 |
| 09-27 08:45 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.0k |
| 09-27 08:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.1297331481 | $5.3k |
| 09-08 14:39 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $81.87 |
| 09-02 16:28 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1441987857 | $5.9k |
| 09-02 16:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1156052612 | $7.5k |
| 09-02 16:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0917692998 | $4.8k |
| 09-02 16:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.6k |
| 09-02 16:22 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1950808656 | $15.0k |
| 09-02 16:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $36.8k |
| 08-15 11:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9441277468 | $34.9k |
| 08-15 11:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.996 | $34.9k |