PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lior-Pa

0x6cd84a3230d0b0837c8169f64b6ece55faafd98d

Realised P&L
$28.1k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$31.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2100.225$31.2k+$2.0k
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1260.135$149.10+$10.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 04:57Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1099999999$57.16
10-06 09:32Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.2245072764$9.1k
10-06 09:32Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.0641897568$9.7k
09-29 20:39Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.2399999992$45.41
09-27 08:45Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.24$5.0k
09-27 08:43Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.1297331481$5.3k
09-08 14:39Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999998$81.87
09-02 16:28Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1441987857$5.9k
09-02 16:23Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1156052612$7.5k
09-02 16:23Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0917692998$4.8k
09-02 16:23Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.08$2.6k
09-02 16:22Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1950808656$15.0k
09-02 16:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.995$36.8k
08-15 11:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.9441277468$34.9k
08-15 11:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.996$34.9k