Lior-Pa
0x6cd84a3230d0b0837c8169f64b6ece55faafd98d
- Realised P&L
- $26.3k
- Volume
- $534.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $26.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.838 | 0.775 | $27.1k | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.740Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.0kat 0.807Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$2.8kat 0.882Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.726Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.0kat 0.854Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8376268642 | $29.3k |
| 08-02 03:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.9734374878 | $29.3k |
| 08-01 11:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8073189489 | $24.3k |
| 08-01 11:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.9951567447 | $24.3k |
| 07-27 15:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.8820532492 | $21.6k |
| 07-27 15:31 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.9426218023 | $21.6k |
| 07-14 20:07 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.8542019674 | $19.5k |
| 07-14 20:06 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL | 0.9785824882 | $19.5k |
| 07-13 18:13 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.969456068 | $19.4k |
| 07-11 18:57 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $22.15 |
| 07-09 03:11 | Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7404595539 | $14.3k |
| 07-07 14:09 | Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8698402198 | $12.6k |
| 07-06 20:26 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5399999694 | $5.29 |
| 07-05 10:40 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.1k |
| 07-02 06:57 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.3k |