PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CyberDegen

0x6ccb5b0534dfcfed3ae92d873a024ca9c5e42962

Realised P&L
$63.46
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$252.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? · Yes0.7510.740$98.57$1.43
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.1400.205$54.18+$17.18
Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.2800.485$50.23+$21.23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · Yes0.7300.597$49.72$11.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$37.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$44.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 07:53Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?BUY0.7298514583$60.78
09-15 07:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.17$47.22
09-15 07:50Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?BUY0.7507166679$100.00
09-15 07:49Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.2799999988$29.00
09-15 07:47Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1799999999$50.00
09-15 07:46U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.1399999996$37.00
06-26 11:07Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?SELL0.5472415142$60.14
06-25 08:02Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?BUY0.181999994$20.00
04-21 08:33Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?BUY0.4499999974$32.23
04-21 08:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
04-21 08:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.62$44.64
03-11 14:07US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.6693827274$50.00
03-03 10:50Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY0.7772555005$49.90
03-03 10:48Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY0.4728451726$50.00