0x6CcB48dE81CB05a737CfA9fE5B92F4197Cc6d667-1770780320690
0x6ccb48de81cb05a737cfa9fe5b92f4197cc6d667
- Realised P&L
- $128.88
- Volume
- $23.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $308.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $186.11 | −$6.89 |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.115 | $122.81 | −$19.64 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$169.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? · No | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.673 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$437.83at 0.367Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$427.10at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$331.70at 0.237Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$322.04at 0.520Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$211.81at 0.320Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $193.00 |
| 09-22 22:43 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | BUY | 0.13338974 | $142.45 |
| 09-19 20:56 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 22:33 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $74.49 |
| 09-11 22:33 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.8099999992 | $82.00 |
| 09-11 22:32 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 00:10 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.599999999 | $125.30 |
| 08-29 09:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.022 | $15.75 |
| 08-22 01:51 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.8199999988 | $92.70 |
| 08-18 00:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4163599241 | $298.00 |
| 07-22 00:46 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.362989279 | $112.00 |
| 06-03 00:59 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6449999988 | $169.99 |
| 06-03 00:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3867647962 | $159.00 |
| 06-03 00:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1639999984 | $84.20 |
| 05-30 18:32 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.4831976448 | $426.74 |