Highboard
0x6cc8bc44c7f998c48e54cc9b8258a89626fe05b5
- Realised P&L
- $-28.1k
- Volume
- $703.9k
- Markets traded
- 390
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded390
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.463 | 0.660 | $2.9k | +$871.43 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.335 | $1.2k | −$83.23 |
| Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.614 | 0.730 | $1.0k | +$166.62 |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.455 | $592.99 | −$33.56 |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.266 | $419.85 | +$149.10 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? · No | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will "Pillion" win Outstanding Debut at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.6461 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
- +$848.53at 0.558Will JD Vance say "Trump" 30 or more times during the debate?
- +$576.23at 0.720Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?
- +$471.05at 0.613Will JD Vance say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate?
- +$463.81at 0.640Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 22:19 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3062141714 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 14:08 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3007066607 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 11:22 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.24 | $104.12 |
| 09-12 11:18 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.444659636 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 07:46 | Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0030332 | $3.03 |
| 09-12 07:45 | Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 07:44 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2503833419 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 13:31 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4841897227 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 13:24 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2803816007 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 06:13 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2586104 | $129.31 |
| 09-10 10:02 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4554291998 | $35.87 |
| 09-09 20:02 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.27 | $38.18 |
| 09-09 05:05 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.579999997 | $70.71 |
| 09-09 04:59 | Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6586826339 | $200.00 |
| 09-07 19:15 | Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5692169467 | $300.00 |