alemun
0x6cc5a157010663b6172b3067b60389a04ec40a3e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.53
- Volume
- $235.53
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Conner Leavitt be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Big Game: Coin Toss · Tails | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.210Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?
- +$1.08at 0.480Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
- +$0.20at 0.830Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$-0.91at 0.022Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
- +$-0.97at 0.100Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:56 | Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:33 | Will Conner Leavitt be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 23:39 | Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 02-08 23:35 | Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.1459998768 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 23:32 | Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.1110000124 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 23:25 | Big Game: Coin Toss | BUY | 0.4979997819 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 23:25 | Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 23:24 | Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 23:17 | Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 03:33 | Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.0919999183 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 03:46 | Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 03:45 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 02-02 03:45 | Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 01-28 20:45 | Will Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 01-24 21:48 | Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | SELL | 0.999 | $2.08 |