loridavis
0x6cc54b75caa8fa8b377e3b34e4d12f7e4c2369f7
- Realised P&L
- $26.73
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $47.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.921 | $18.95 | +$5.29 |
| Lehigh vs. Cornell · Lehigh | 0.820 | 0.805 | $11.57 | −$0.22 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.620 | $8.99 | −$0.72 |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.723 | 0.775 | $8.20 | +$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.61at 0.650Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?
- +$17.56at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 5?
- +$7.68at 0.650South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs Zimbabwe
- +$2.48at 0.770Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?
- +$0.21at 0.988Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 08:41 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.8271398811 | $16.60 |
| 01-31 14:08 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.23 |
| 01-31 13:27 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.90 |
| 01-30 14:50 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $25.08 |
| 01-30 11:55 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.9909999862 | $11.67 |
| 01-30 11:51 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999867 | $59.40 |
| 12-30 12:03 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989997106 | $3.10 |
| 12-30 11:59 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.71 |
| 12-30 11:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.81 |
| 12-29 20:43 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.71 |
| 12-29 19:32 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.10 |
| 10-30 19:51 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.50 |
| 10-30 18:48 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.63 |
| 09-29 15:52 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999281 | $11.52 |
| 09-29 05:20 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.10 |