BBL-Drizzy2
0x6cc4a15972b376a43c7f7742be681f9102ed6ef8
- Realised P&L
- $174.88
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.755 | 0.992 | $567.56 | +$135.53 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No | 0.670 | 0.745 | $260.75 | +$26.25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes | 0.642 | 0.725 | $224.64 | +$25.64 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.162 | $194.40 | +$54.00 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.195 | $19.42 | −$3.48 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.043 | $8.60 | −$7.40 |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Opp. | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$336.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.85at 0.652Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$83.01at 0.540Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$76.93at 0.846US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
- +$50.00at 0.710Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
- +$-277.03at 0.318US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 13:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $532.36 |
| 10-23 22:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $428.25 |
| 10-23 22:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | SELL | 0.91 | $457.28 |
| 10-22 19:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $304.00 |
| 10-22 09:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $40.74 |
| 10-21 20:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.85 | $340.00 |
| 10-21 20:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.85 | $340.00 |
| 10-21 20:32 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.8397443902 | $172.15 |
| 10-14 21:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.73 | $320.29 |
| 10-01 08:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.68 | $102.00 |
| 03-05 16:40 | US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $220.63 |
| 03-05 16:36 | US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $56.82 |
| 03-04 07:06 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $194.89 |